Trade Carbon Policy

CBAM and UK Manufacturing: Why Border Carbon Costs Make Solar Urgent

The EU's Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism is now in full effect, adding a direct cost to the carbon intensity of your exports. Factory solar is one of the fastest and most financially rewarding ways to reduce that exposure.

CBAM Is Now Live: What This Means for UK Exporters

From January 2026, EU importers must buy CBAM certificates for the carbon content of certain goods. UK manufacturers exporting iron, steel, aluminium, cement, fertilisers, hydrogen, and electricity-intensive products to the EU face higher costs. Solar panels directly reduce your facility's embodied carbon, lowering CBAM exposure and protecting your competitive position in EU markets.

What is CBAM? The EU Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism Explained

The Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) is an EU regulation designed to prevent "carbon leakage" — the movement of production to countries with lower carbon costs. It does this by placing a carbon price on the embedded emissions of imported goods equivalent to what EU manufacturers pay under the EU Emissions Trading System (EU ETS).

Oct 2023
Transitional Phase Began

Reporting requirements only — EU importers must report the embedded carbon of covered goods. No financial obligation during this phase.

Jan 2026
Full Pricing Starts

EU importers must purchase CBAM certificates for the embedded carbon of covered imports. Financial impact begins in earnest.

2026-2034
Progressive Tightening

Free EU ETS allocations phase out progressively, increasing effective CBAM costs. Full exposure by 2034 as free allocations reach zero.

How CBAM Certificate Pricing Works

CBAM certificate prices are linked to the weekly average price of EU ETS allowances (EUAs). At recent EU ETS prices of €60-80 per tonne CO2e, the CBAM cost per tonne of embedded carbon is approximately €60-80. As EU ETS prices are expected to rise towards €100-150/tonne by the early 2030s under the EU's Fit for 55 package, CBAM exposure will increase significantly over the next decade.

€60-80/tCO2e
Current EU ETS price range
€100-130/tCO2e
Projected 2028-2030 range
€130-150/tCO2e
Projected 2032-2034 range

Which UK Industries Are Affected by CBAM?

CBAM covers five primary sectors directly, with significant indirect exposure for downstream manufacturing that uses these materials.

Directly Covered Sectors

HIGH
Iron and Steel
Highest embedded carbon per tonne. Electric arc furnace producers benefit most from solar.
HIGH
Aluminium
Both primary (smelting) and secondary (recycled) aluminium covered. Very electricity-intensive.
MED
Cement and Clinker
Process emissions dominate but electricity use contributes. Limited UK export volume.
MED
Fertilisers and Hydrogen
Ammonia-based fertilisers. Emerging hydrogen sector will be progressively covered.

Indirectly Affected UK Sectors

Automotive Manufacturing

Heavy users of steel and aluminium. CBAM costs passed through from materials suppliers will raise input costs. Electric vehicle manufacturers doubly exposed via battery minerals.

Aerospace

High aluminium intensity per unit produced. Aerostructure components exported to EU prime integrators will face indirect CBAM pressure.

Metal Fabrication and Packaging

Aluminium packaging and fabricated steel products may face future CBAM scope expansion. Proactive decarbonisation protects long-term competitiveness.

How Factory Solar Reduces Your CBAM Exposure

CBAM certificate obligations are calculated based on the actual embedded carbon in your product — including the carbon intensity of the electricity used in manufacturing. Reducing this electricity's carbon intensity directly reduces your CBAM liability.

Without Solar (Grid Electricity)

Electricity source UK grid (0.233 kg CO2e/kWh)
Embodied carbon from electricity Higher
CBAM certificate requirement Full embedded carbon value
Competitive position Vulnerable to carbon-light competitors

With Solar (Partial Self-Generation)

Solar electricity 0 kg CO2e/kWh
Embodied carbon from electricity Reduced proportionally
CBAM certificate requirement Reduced by solar fraction
Competitive position Stronger EU market access

The CBAM Calculation Methodology

CBAM embedded carbon is calculated using either:

  • Actual emission data from the specific installation (preferred) — where you document actual kWh consumed and actual carbon intensity of electricity (including solar fraction at zero CO2e)
  • Default values set by the EU Commission based on country-level emission factors — less favourable, higher assumed emissions

Installing solar and using actual emission data rather than EU default values is therefore doubly beneficial: it reduces your actual embedded carbon AND allows you to claim the lower actual figure rather than the unfavourable EU-set default.

Worked Example: Steel Manufacturer CBAM Cost Reduction

Here is a realistic example of how a UK electric arc furnace steel manufacturer exporting to the EU can reduce CBAM costs through solar installation.

UK Steel Manufacturer — 10,000 Tonnes/Year Production, Exporting 40% to EU

Facility Profile

Annual production 10,000 tonnes crude steel
EU export volume 4,000 tonnes
Annual electricity consumption 5,000,000 kWh
Electricity per tonne (EAF) 500 kWh/tonne

500kW Solar System Impact

Solar annual generation 450,000 kWh
Grid electricity displacement 9% of total
CO2e avoided per year 104.9 tCO2e
Embedded carbon reduction per tonne steel ~10.5 kg CO2e/tonne

CBAM Cost Reduction Calculation (at €70/tCO2e)

EU exports covered by CBAM
4,000 tonnes
Embedded carbon reduction
10.5 kg CO2e/t
Annual CBAM saving
€2,940/year

As EU ETS prices rise to €120/tCO2e by 2030, this saving grows to approximately €5,040/year — in addition to c.£110,000/year in electricity bill savings from the same system.

Note on CBAM Impact Scale

For EAF steel producers, electricity represents 30-40% of production costs. While the absolute CBAM certificate saving from solar alone may be modest relative to total costs, solar's primary financial benefit is the direct electricity cost saving — which for a 500kW system at a steel facility can exceed £100,000/year. CBAM represents an additional financial incentive layered on top of the core energy cost reduction case.

UK ETS and CBAM: How They Interact

The UK has its own emissions trading scheme (UK ETS) which creates a domestic carbon price. Understanding how this interacts with CBAM is important for UK exporters.

UK ETS Carbon Price

The UK ETS covers energy-intensive industries in the UK. Companies covered by the UK ETS already pay a carbon price for their direct emissions. At current UK ETS prices of approximately £40-60/tCO2e, some offset against CBAM obligations may be available.

CBAM offset mechanism: EU importers can deduct the carbon price already paid in the country of origin from their CBAM certificate obligation. The extent of this offset depends on an equivalency assessment by the EU Commission comparing the UK ETS to the EU ETS.

Why Solar Remains Essential Regardless

Even where UK ETS credits partially offset CBAM obligations, solar panels provide value beyond CBAM alone:

  • Solar reduces the total volume of carbon requiring any pricing — whether UK ETS or CBAM
  • Electricity savings improve unit production costs independent of carbon pricing
  • Solar supports Scope 2 reporting, EPC compliance, and ISO 50001 simultaneously
  • As both UK ETS and CBAM prices rise, solar's value increases over time

Frequently Asked Questions

Does CBAM affect UK manufacturers?

Yes. UK manufacturers exporting CBAM-covered goods (iron, steel, aluminium, cement, fertilisers, hydrogen, and certain electricity-intensive products) to the EU are subject to CBAM. From January 2026, EU importers must purchase CBAM certificates for the embedded carbon content of these goods. This effectively adds a carbon cost on UK exports that is determined by your facility's actual emission intensity.

Which UK sectors are most exposed to CBAM?

The directly covered sectors are iron and steel, aluminium, cement, fertilisers, and hydrogen. However, indirect exposure extends to automotive (aluminium and steel intensive), aerospace (aluminium), construction materials (cement and steel), and packaging manufacturers (aluminium). UK steel and aluminium producers exporting to the EU have the most immediate and significant exposure.

How does solar reduce CBAM costs?

Factory solar reduces your CBAM exposure by lowering the Scope 2 emission intensity of your production process. CBAM certificates are priced on the actual embedded carbon in your product — including the carbon from electricity used in manufacturing. By replacing grid electricity (0.233 kg CO2e/kWh in 2024) with zero-carbon solar electricity, you directly reduce the embedded carbon content of your products and therefore the number of CBAM certificates required. Crucially, using actual monitored data (rather than EU default values) allows you to claim the lower actual figure.

When does CBAM full pricing start?

CBAM's transitional phase ran from October 2023 to December 2025, during which only reporting was required with no financial obligation. From 1 January 2026, the definitive phase began, requiring EU importers to purchase CBAM certificates for the embedded carbon of covered goods. The phase-out of free EU ETS allocations runs in parallel through 2034, progressively increasing the effective CBAM cost.

Is UK steel exempt from CBAM?

No. UK steel exported to the EU is covered by CBAM from January 2026 onwards. There is no country-specific exemption for UK exporters following Brexit. The only offset mechanism is if the UK establishes a carbon pricing system equivalent to the EU ETS — in which case the carbon price already paid in the UK can be deducted from CBAM certificate obligations. The UK ETS currently provides partial credit but the equivalency determination is assessed by the EU Commission and is not guaranteed to provide full offset.

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